A Delicate Balance in Burundi

After decades of civil war, Burundi is exporting peace.   In the process, a fragile peace has come to Burundi.   But will it last through the next elections in 2015? Seven years ago, just one year after its own fighting ended, Burundi joined Uganda to support the African Union’s (AU) new peace keeping mission in Somalia,…

Complex Systems, Resiliency and Conflict

Some problems are so complex that you have to be highly intelligent and well-informed just to be undecided about them.   Laurent J. Peters A Systems View A system is an internally organized whole, where elements are so intimately connected that they operate as one in relation to external conditions and other systems.  A set…

Conflict Dynamics

Figure 1. Embedded combatant and civilian subsystems in civil conflict drive dynamics for co-evolution of resiliency and violence in civil conflict.  Resiliency in conflict can be seen through the perspective of civilians and different parties to the conflict. The interdependent feedback loops are made evident through the amount of services provided to civilians, the perceived…